Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 51.1% vs Tavares 49.4% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 17-10 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 80.0%
Defensive zone
Little 61.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 59.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Little
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
17
(27 meetings)
10
17
Little
Tavares
Last 10: Little 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
9
Little
Tavares
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
8
2
Little
Tavares
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
6
Little
Tavares
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (628)
48.6% (716)
+2.5%
Power Play
52.5% (118)
52.4% (208)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (96)
33.3% (6)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Little has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Little is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (523).
Little shoots right. Tavares is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Little
Tavares
Home
51.4% (420)
50.7% (448)
Away
50.9% (422)
48.1% (482)
By Period
Little
Tavares
P1
50.4%
52.8%
P2
49.3%
51.4%
P3
53.8%
43.7%
OT
50.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
53.1%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2013 | OT | 04:58 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 20, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 3 | 17:59 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 10:50 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 01:47 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 18:56 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 13:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 04:42 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 19:15 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 03:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 2 | 18:01 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |