Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 52 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Tavares 54.4% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 77-64 in 141 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 63.9%
Defensive zone
Little 70.5%
Neutral zone
Little 52.4%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Little
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
64
-
77
(141 meetings)
64
77
Little
Tavares
Last 10: Little 7-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
15
37
Little
Tavares
52 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
23
22
Little
Tavares
45 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
26
18
Little
Tavares
44 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
54.0% (16,108)
-3.1%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
56.5% (4,283)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
50.6% (620)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Home / Away
Little
Tavares
Home
52.9% (5,664)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Little
Tavares
P1
50.9%
55.0%
P2
49.6%
54.1%
P3
51.5%
54.1%
OT
49.1%
55.9%
Final 5 min
51.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 11:36 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 05:03 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 1 | 10:30 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 3 | 00:26 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 2 | 18:36 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 1 | 19:39 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 19:21 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 01:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 10:26 | Neutral | Bryan Little |