Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 52.3% vs Tavares 54.2% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Little leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 69.5%
Defensive zone
Tavares 60.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 58.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Little
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Little
Tavares
Last 10: Little 7-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Little
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
4
2
Little
Tavares
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
2
1
Little
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (796)
53.0% (1,201)
+0.0%
Power Play
56.0% (116)
61.5% (262)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (90)
53.8% (65)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Little is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Little shoots right. Tavares is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (558).
Home / Away
Little
Tavares
Home
53.6% (491)
57.5% (762)
Away
51.5% (511)
51.4% (766)
By Period
Little
Tavares
P1
55.4%
54.5%
P2
50.6%
53.2%
P3
52.1%
55.5%
OT
37.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
52.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 11:36 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 05:03 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 1 | 10:30 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 3 | 00:26 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 2 | 18:36 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 1 | 19:39 | Defensive | John Tavares |