Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.0% vs 56.6%). Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Little wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 55.6% vs Staal 56.1% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 59.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 50.1%
Neutral zone
Little 51.3%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Little
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Little
Staal
Last 5: Little 1-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Little
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Little
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,026)
55.9% (1,016)
+0.0%
Power Play
60.1% (158)
68.0% (150)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (122)
50.6% (172)
+1.0%
On power play, Staal has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Little is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (850).
Little shoots right. Staal is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Little
Staal
Home
58.6% (613)
57.2% (684)
Away
53.8% (693)
56.0% (654)
By Period
Little
Staal
P1
54.4%
53.0%
P2
57.5%
58.2%
P3
56.6%
58.9%
OT
47.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.4%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
56.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2018 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 05:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |