Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 31 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Staal 55.3% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 50-36 in 86 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 70.8%
Defensive zone
Little 77.8%
Neutral zone
Little 71.0%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Little
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
50
(86 meetings)
36
50
Little
Staal
Last 10: Little 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
10
13
Little
Staal
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
8
23
Little
Staal
31 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
18
14
Little
Staal
32 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
55.9% (14,620)
-5.0%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
62.7% (1,745)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
48.0% (2,896)
-4.5%
On power play, Staal has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Home / Away
Little
Staal
Home
52.9% (5,664)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Little
Staal
P1
50.9%
55.2%
P2
49.6%
55.9%
P3
51.5%
54.9%
OT
49.1%
56.2%
Final 5 min
51.1%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2019 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 05:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 03:42 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 3 | 14:34 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 3 | 07:57 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 18:17 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 08:29 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 05:36 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |