Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.7%). Look for Little on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Lehtera 50.7% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Little leads 26-19 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 58.2%
Defensive zone
Little 67.6%
Neutral zone
Little 53.9%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Little
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
19
(45 meetings)
26
19
Little
Lehtera
Last 10: Little 8-2 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
Little
Lehtera
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
9
4
Little
Lehtera
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
11
9
Little
Lehtera
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
50.4% (2,714)
+0.5%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
55.8% (339)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
41.3% (104)
+2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Lehtera is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,124).
Home / Away
Little
Lehtera
Home
52.9% (5,664)
53.7% (1,668)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
47.4% (1,489)
By Period
Little
Lehtera
P1
50.9%
53.2%
P2
49.6%
50.6%
P3
51.5%
48.1%
OT
49.1%
54.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 12:00 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 13:55 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 03:37 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 00:22 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 18:02 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 09:21 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 05:12 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 04:10 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 2 | 03:08 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 2 | 02:52 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 3 | 16:14 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 3 | 06:27 | Defensive | Bryan Little |