Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 52.3% vs Hayes 49.3% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 62.9%
Defensive zone
Hayes 62.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 65.3%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Little
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Little
Hayes
Last 9: Little 3-6 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Little
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
4
Little
Hayes
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Little
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (796)
50.5% (764)
+2.5%
Power Play
56.0% (116)
53.3% (90)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (90)
38.6% (127)
+4.7%
On penalty kill, Little has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Little is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Little shoots right. Hayes is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Little
Hayes
Home
53.6% (491)
49.0% (531)
Away
51.5% (511)
49.6% (450)
By Period
Little
Hayes
P1
55.4%
52.3%
P2
50.6%
45.8%
P3
52.1%
50.2%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
52.5%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 04:58 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 15:15 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 15:01 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 14:53 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 04:36 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 1 | 15:22 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |