Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Hayes 47.7% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 63.8%
Defensive zone
Hayes 63.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 62.7%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Little
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Little
Hayes
Last 10: Little 3-7 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Little
Hayes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
5
6
Little
Hayes
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
3
Little
Hayes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
47.5% (6,708)
+3.4%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
51.7% (702)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
45.3% (697)
-1.8%
On power play, Little has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Home / Away
Little
Hayes
Home
52.9% (5,664)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Little
Hayes
P1
50.9%
47.5%
P2
49.6%
47.6%
P3
51.5%
47.9%
OT
49.1%
54.1%
Final 5 min
51.1%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 04:58 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 15:15 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 15:01 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 14:53 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 04:36 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 1 | 15:22 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 3 | 01:36 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 14:46 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 3 | 11:28 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 1 | 19:39 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 3 | 04:30 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | Bryan Little |