Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Adam on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Adam 42.8% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Adam 70.1%
Defensive zone
Adam 77.9%
Neutral zone
Adam 78.8%
Result
Luke Adam favored at 77.2%
22.8%
77.2%
Little
Adam
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Little
Adam
Last 6: Little 1-5 Adam
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Adam
0
1
Little
Adam
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Adam
0
1
Little
Adam
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Adam
1
3
Little
Adam
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Adam
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
40.3% (377)
+10.6%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
50.0% (26)
+5.5%
On even strength, Little has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Adam shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Adam is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Little
Adam
Home
52.9% (5,664)
44.9% (187)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
37.6% (218)
By Period
Little
Adam
P1
50.9%
42.1%
P2
49.6%
37.9%
P3
51.5%
43.2%
OT
49.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Adam
44.0%▬
43.5%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 17:15 | Defensive | Luke Adam |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 3 | 12:46 | Neutral | Luke Adam |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 2 | 15:07 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Luke Adam |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | Luke Adam |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 1 | 05:54 | Neutral | Luke Adam |