Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 49.2% vs Goc 53.8% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 73.8%
Defensive zone
Goc 61.1%
Neutral zone
Little 66.0%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Little
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Little
Goc
Last 7: Little 2-5 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
2
1
Little
Goc
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
0
3
Little
Goc
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
0
1
Little
Goc
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (1,128)
54.5% (512)
-5.0%
Power Play
55.1% (216)
65.0% (20)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (207)
52.3% (153)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Goc has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Little is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Little shoots right. Goc is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Little
Goc
Home
54.1% (756)
57.2% (383)
Away
44.4% (795)
50.7% (302)
By Period
Little
Goc
P1
49.5%
53.9%
P2
50.2%
51.2%
P3
48.1%
58.5%
OT
44.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
49.1%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 13:03 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 07:32 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |