Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on neutral-zone draws (66% H2H, 29 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Goc 52.3% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Little leads 53-45 in 98 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 57.2%
Defensive zone
Goc 71.0%
Neutral zone
Goc 53.2%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Little
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
53
-
45
(98 meetings)
53
45
Little
Goc
Last 10: Little 4-6 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
19
12
Little
Goc
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
15
23
Little
Goc
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
19
10
Little
Goc
29 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
53.0% (3,301)
-2.1%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
58.0% (314)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
47.4% (728)
-3.9%
On penalty kill, Goc has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Goc is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,607).
Home / Away
Little
Goc
Home
52.9% (5,664)
53.9% (2,079)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
51.0% (2,296)
By Period
Little
Goc
P1
50.9%
51.9%
P2
49.6%
53.1%
P3
51.5%
52.4%
OT
49.1%
44.9%
Final 5 min
51.1%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 13:03 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 07:32 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 3 | 12:14 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 3 | 11:56 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 2 | 10:28 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 1 | 14:02 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 1 | 11:40 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 3 | 13:14 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 3 | 13:05 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 03:31 | Neutral | Bryan Little |