Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.4%). Look for Little on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Jankowski 50.4% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Little leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 57.8%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 63.4%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 50.1%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Little
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Little
Jankowski
Last 10: Little 7-3 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Little
Jankowski
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
4
0
Little
Jankowski
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
4
2
Little
Jankowski
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
51.5% (3,462)
-0.6%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
53.7% (95)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
42.8% (528)
+0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Jankowski is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,550).
Home / Away
Little
Jankowski
Home
52.9% (5,664)
51.9% (1,940)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
49.1% (2,145)
By Period
Little
Jankowski
P1
50.9%
50.0%
P2
49.6%
51.2%
P3
51.5%
50.2%
OT
49.1%
20.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 05:20 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 01:30 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 04:32 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 01:35 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 12:58 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 05:48 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 08:29 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 08:17 | Neutral | Bryan Little |