Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Little wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 55.6% vs Duchene 52.8% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 56.6%
Defensive zone
Duchene 59.1%
Neutral zone
Duchene 55.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Little
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Little
Duchene
Last 5: Little 1-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Little
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Little
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Little
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,026)
52.6% (1,112)
+3.3%
Power Play
60.1% (158)
56.0% (193)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (122)
49.0% (49)
+2.6%
On power play, Little has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Little is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (850).
Little shoots right. Duchene is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Home / Away
Little
Duchene
Home
58.6% (613)
55.7% (652)
Away
53.8% (693)
50.4% (702)
By Period
Little
Duchene
P1
54.4%
51.4%
P2
57.5%
53.9%
P3
56.6%
53.3%
OT
47.6%
55.6%
Final 5 min
55.4%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
56.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2018 | 2 | 00:57 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 3 | 10:46 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 2 | 14:08 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Bryan Little |