Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 42 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Duchene 54.1% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 65-60 in 125 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 53.9%
Defensive zone
Little 59.0%
Neutral zone
Duchene 51.1%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Little
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
60
-
65
(125 meetings)
60
65
Little
Duchene
Last 10: Little 4-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
13
29
Little
Duchene
42 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
19
16
Little
Duchene
35 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
28
20
Little
Duchene
48 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
53.9% (10,396)
-3.0%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
56.9% (1,665)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
49.1% (468)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,494).
Home / Away
Little
Duchene
Home
52.9% (5,664)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Little
Duchene
P1
50.9%
54.5%
P2
49.6%
54.5%
P3
51.5%
53.4%
OT
49.1%
56.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2019 | 3 | 17:27 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 2 | 11:37 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 2 | 07:33 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 02:01 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 18:31 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 02:56 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 01:19 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 05:39 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 14:49 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 02:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 2 | 00:57 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 3 | 10:46 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 2 | 14:08 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Bryan Little |