Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 48.8%). Look for Little on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 49.2% vs Zibanejad 48.9% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Little leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 61.2%
Defensive zone
Little 58.1%
Neutral zone
Little 52.6%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Little
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Little
Zibanejad
Last 10: Little 7-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Little
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
1
0
Little
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
4
1
Little
Zibanejad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (1,128)
49.1% (1,031)
+0.4%
Power Play
55.1% (216)
47.5% (200)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (207)
46.7% (30)
-5.6%
On power play, Little has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Little is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Little shoots right. Zibanejad is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Little
Zibanejad
Home
54.1% (756)
52.0% (658)
Away
44.4% (795)
45.3% (603)
By Period
Little
Zibanejad
P1
49.5%
48.0%
P2
50.2%
53.2%
P3
48.1%
45.8%
OT
44.7%
41.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
49.1%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2015 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 2 | 18:29 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 2 | 08:32 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 1 | 03:48 | Neutral | Bryan Little |