Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 49.9%). Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Zibanejad 49.9% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 56.1%
Defensive zone
Little 50.8%
Neutral zone
Little 51.0%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Little
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
12
(22 meetings)
10
12
Little
Zibanejad
Last 10: Little 2-8 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
4
Little
Zibanejad
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
4
Little
Zibanejad
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
5
4
Little
Zibanejad
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
50.9% (11,719)
+0.0%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
52.2% (1,849)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
41.5% (1,790)
+2.0%
On power play, Little has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Little is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,837).
Little shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,681).
Home / Away
Little
Zibanejad
Home
52.9% (5,664)
51.6% (7,566)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
48.3% (7,793)
By Period
Little
Zibanejad
P1
50.9%
50.4%
P2
49.6%
49.7%
P3
51.5%
49.8%
OT
49.1%
48.7%
Final 5 min
51.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 06:16 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 1 | 05:45 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 11:09 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 07:50 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 2 | 18:29 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 2 | 08:32 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 1 | 03:48 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 13:16 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 17, 2013 | 1 | 17:42 | Defensive | Bryan Little |