Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 48.7%). Look for Richards on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 49.2% vs Richards 48.9% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 54.7%
Defensive zone
Little 56.6%
Neutral zone
Little 55.0%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Little
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Little
Richards
Last 6: Little 0-6 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
0
2
Little
Richards
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
0
3
Little
Richards
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
0
1
Little
Richards
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (1,128)
49.5% (529)
+0.0%
Power Play
55.1% (216)
44.4% (36)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (207)
39.3% (28)
+1.8%
On power play, Little has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Little is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Little shoots right. Richards is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Little
Richards
Home
54.1% (756)
47.9% (292)
Away
44.4% (795)
49.5% (301)
By Period
Little
Richards
P1
49.5%
46.0%
P2
50.2%
52.0%
P3
48.1%
48.1%
OT
44.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
49.1%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 12, 2014 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 12, 2014 | 2 | 18:42 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 12, 2014 | 1 | 18:59 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 12, 2014 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 12, 2014 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Mike Richards |