Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.5%). Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Richards 50.5% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 20-13 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 51.5%
Defensive zone
Richards 50.6%
Neutral zone
Little 53.4%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Little
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
20
(33 meetings)
13
20
Little
Richards
Last 10: Little 2-8 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
4
9
Little
Richards
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
3
4
Little
Richards
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
6
7
Little
Richards
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
50.0% (3,722)
+0.9%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
54.6% (445)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
51.4% (502)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Richards is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,577).
Home / Away
Little
Richards
Home
52.9% (5,664)
50.8% (2,363)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
50.3% (2,336)
By Period
Little
Richards
P1
50.9%
49.6%
P2
49.6%
52.3%
P3
51.5%
49.3%
OT
49.1%
58.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 12, 2014 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 12, 2014 | 2 | 18:42 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 12, 2014 | 1 | 18:59 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 12, 2014 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 12, 2014 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 3 | 01:54 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 1 | 15:34 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 11:00 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 05:20 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 00:21 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 17, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 19:47 | Offensive | Bryan Little |