Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 49.2% vs MacKinnon 47.5% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Little leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 51.5%
Defensive zone
Little 61.5%
Neutral zone
Little 64.9%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Little
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
5
(18 meetings)
13
5
Little
MacKinnon
Last 10: Little 6-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
4
2
Little
MacKinnon
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
2
1
Little
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
7
2
Little
MacKinnon
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (1,128)
45.2% (365)
+4.3%
Power Play
55.1% (216)
57.1% (63)
-2.0%
On even strength, Little has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Little is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Little shoots right. MacKinnon is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Little
MacKinnon
Home
54.1% (756)
48.0% (225)
Away
44.4% (795)
45.8% (203)
By Period
Little
MacKinnon
P1
49.5%
41.1%
P2
50.2%
49.6%
P3
48.1%
48.9%
OT
44.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
49.1%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 17:18 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 04:32 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 14:40 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 11:14 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 18:33 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 02:55 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 02:30 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 5, 2014 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 5, 2014 | 3 | 00:45 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 5, 2014 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 5, 2014 | 2 | 14:52 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 5, 2014 | 2 | 10:36 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 5, 2014 | 2 | 06:43 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 5, 2014 | 1 | 13:43 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 5, 2014 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 5, 2014 | 1 | 03:16 | Neutral | Bryan Little |