Bryan Little vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Little leads 50-33 in 83 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 55.7%
Defensive zone
Little 67.5%
Neutral zone
Little 71.7%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Little
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
50
-
33
(83 meetings)
50
33
Little
MacKinnon
Last 10: Little 3-7 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
17
8
Little
MacKinnon
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
16
13
Little
MacKinnon
29 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
17
12
Little
MacKinnon
29 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
46.1% (11,218)
+4.8%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
53.3% (1,412)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
42.8% (502)
+0.7%
On even strength, Little has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Little is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,837).
Little shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
Home / Away
Little
MacKinnon
Home
52.9% (5,664)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Little
MacKinnon
P1
50.9%
47.4%
P2
49.6%
46.6%
P3
51.5%
46.1%
OT
49.1%
48.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2019 | 3 | 01:57 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 20, 2019 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 09:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 1 | 19:46 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 2, 2018 | OT | 02:28 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 17:42 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 13:54 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 10:57 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 10:08 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 06:19 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 15:54 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 3 | 08:40 | Neutral | Bryan Little |