Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Little wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 55.1% vs MacKinnon 50.5% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Little leads 17-5 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 82.5%
Defensive zone
Little 59.1%
Neutral zone
Little 82.9%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Little
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
5
(22 meetings)
17
5
Little
MacKinnon
Last 10: Little 8-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
8
1
Little
MacKinnon
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
3
Little
MacKinnon
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
7
1
Little
MacKinnon
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (847)
49.3% (1,167)
+8.0%
Power Play
57.5% (160)
61.0% (187)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (90)
47.9% (167)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Little is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Little shoots right. MacKinnon is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Little
MacKinnon
Home
56.7% (575)
57.7% (728)
Away
54.4% (522)
44.0% (793)
By Period
Little
MacKinnon
P1
55.4%
50.1%
P2
53.9%
52.5%
P3
57.6%
49.3%
OT
58.3%
43.8%
Final 5 min
56.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
55.6%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 13:54 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 10:57 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 10:08 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 06:19 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 15:54 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 3 | 08:40 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 3 | 08:32 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 3 | 04:26 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 3 | 02:54 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 2 | 16:21 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | Bryan Little |