Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 52.3% vs MacKinnon 44.2% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 69.6%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 75.9%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 76.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 74.8%
25.2%
74.8%
Little
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Little
MacKinnon
Last 5: Little 1-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Little
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Little
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Little
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (796)
42.8% (1,039)
+10.2%
Power Play
56.0% (116)
50.8% (118)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (90)
46.2% (26)
-2.9%
On even strength, Little has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Little is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Little shoots right. MacKinnon is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Little
MacKinnon
Home
53.6% (491)
48.0% (586)
Away
51.5% (511)
39.5% (597)
By Period
Little
MacKinnon
P1
55.4%
46.1%
P2
50.6%
41.5%
P3
52.1%
43.8%
OT
37.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.9%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
52.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2019 | 3 | 01:57 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 20, 2019 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 09:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 1 | 19:46 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |