Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 51.2% vs Gaustad 54.7% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 94.0%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 71.0%
Neutral zone
Little 57.9%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Little
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Little
Gaustad
Last 7: Little 1-6 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Little
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
5
Little
Gaustad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (895)
56.2% (603)
-5.6%
Power Play
61.6% (216)
71.4% (21)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (203)
49.3% (148)
-6.0%
On power play, Gaustad has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Little is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (851).
Little shoots right. Gaustad is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Home / Away
Little
Gaustad
Home
51.6% (628)
55.5% (366)
Away
51.0% (686)
55.2% (406)
By Period
Little
Gaustad
P1
52.0%
55.0%
P2
49.3%
56.9%
P3
53.0%
53.7%
OT
38.5%
62.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.3%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 15:56 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 12:54 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 1 | 17:14 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |