Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 39 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 56-34 in 90 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 90.8%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 61.1%
Neutral zone
Little 79.1%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Little
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
56
(90 meetings)
34
56
Little
Gaustad
Last 10: Little 2-8 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
20
6
Little
Gaustad
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
6
33
Little
Gaustad
39 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
8
17
Little
Gaustad
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
58.2% (4,334)
-7.3%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
65.4% (188)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
54.8% (1,290)
-11.3%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Home / Away
Little
Gaustad
Home
52.9% (5,664)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Little
Gaustad
P1
50.9%
58.2%
P2
49.6%
56.4%
P3
51.5%
58.3%
OT
49.1%
66.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 15:56 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 12:54 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 1 | 17:14 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 16:26 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 12:36 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 11:50 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 00:07 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 02:31 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 17:31 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 03:32 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |