Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Carter 49.8% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Little leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 62.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 51.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 51.5%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Little
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Little
Carter
Last 10: Little 4-6 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
4
2
Little
Carter
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Little
Carter
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
Little
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
50.1% (978)
+0.8%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
60.0% (15)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
46.4% (138)
-2.9%
On power play, Carter has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Carter is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (404).
Home / Away
Little
Carter
Home
52.9% (5,664)
49.0% (506)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
50.3% (632)
By Period
Little
Carter
P1
50.9%
50.5%
P2
49.6%
48.9%
P3
51.5%
50.0%
OT
49.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 05:59 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 18:51 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 14:51 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 14:31 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 11:54 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 1 | 05:06 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Bryan Little |