Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Little wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 46.5% vs Kesler 57.0% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 80.1%
Defensive zone
Little 84.4%
Neutral zone
Little 81.6%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Little
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Little
Kesler
Last 5: Little 0-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Little
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Little
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Little
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (982)
57.3% (1,022)
-10.7%
Power Play
52.4% (166)
61.5% (200)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (170)
54.9% (257)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Little is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (444).
Little shoots right. Kesler is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Little
Kesler
Home
48.6% (623)
58.6% (766)
Away
44.2% (708)
56.2% (730)
By Period
Little
Kesler
P1
46.3%
58.9%
P2
44.2%
56.8%
P3
48.1%
57.5%
OT
50.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
48.9%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2011 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 3 | 15:58 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 1 | 19:25 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |