Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (68% H2H, 44 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Kesler 55.9% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 71-49 in 120 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 67.3%
Defensive zone
Little 80.8%
Neutral zone
Little 74.5%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Little
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
49
-
71
(120 meetings)
49
71
Little
Kesler
Last 10: Little 7-3 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
20
18
Little
Kesler
38 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
15
23
Little
Kesler
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
14
30
Little
Kesler
44 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
56.4% (8,095)
-5.5%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
60.7% (1,437)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
50.5% (1,908)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Little is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,837).
Little shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Little
Kesler
Home
52.9% (5,664)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Little
Kesler
P1
50.9%
56.5%
P2
49.6%
55.9%
P3
51.5%
56.1%
OT
49.1%
46.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 19:12 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 15:48 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 3 | 12:59 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 2 | 08:47 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 2 | 08:41 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 25, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 13:53 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 07:59 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 03:35 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 12:38 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 06:48 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 17:07 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |