Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 47.6% vs O'Reilly 51.4% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Little leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 68.4%
Defensive zone
Little 56.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 62.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Little
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Little
O'Reilly
Last 10: Little 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
4
Little
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
4
0
Little
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Little
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (1,168)
51.5% (194)
-4.4%
Power Play
52.6% (215)
52.3% (107)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (270)
51.4% (70)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Little is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,177).
Little shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Little
O'Reilly
Home
49.6% (829)
50.3% (185)
Away
45.4% (824)
53.2% (186)
By Period
Little
O'Reilly
P1
48.3%
51.0%
P2
44.5%
48.9%
P3
48.7%
53.3%
OT
56.1%
68.8%
Final 5 min
45.4%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
47.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2014 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2014 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 10, 2014 | OT | 02:14 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 01:45 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 27, 2013 | 3 | 13:35 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 27, 2013 | 1 | 12:50 | Offensive | Bryan Little |