Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.3% vs 45.9%). Look for Connolly on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Little wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 46.5% vs Connolly 46.3% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Connolly leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Connolly 51.0%
Defensive zone
Little 60.1%
Neutral zone
Little 50.6%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Little
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Little
Connolly
Last 10: Little 3-7 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
3
2
Little
Connolly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
1
6
Little
Connolly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Connolly
0
3
Little
Connolly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (982)
47.0% (702)
-0.4%
Power Play
52.4% (166)
49.7% (165)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (170)
29.9% (97)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Little has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Little is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (444).
Little shoots right. Connolly is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Little
Connolly
Home
48.6% (623)
46.7% (512)
Away
44.2% (708)
45.1% (457)
By Period
Little
Connolly
P1
46.3%
46.5%
P2
44.2%
47.5%
P3
48.1%
44.0%
OT
50.0%
40.9%
Final 5 min
48.9%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.3%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2011 | 1 | 19:34 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 1 | 16:11 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 06:14 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 02:36 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 00:58 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 20, 2010 | 1 | 01:11 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |