Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Connolly on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Connolly 47.3% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Connolly leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Connolly 72.8%
Defensive zone
Connolly 71.0%
Neutral zone
Connolly 71.0%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Little
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
12
(16 meetings)
4
12
Little
Connolly
Last 10: Little 2-8 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
3
2
Little
Connolly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
1
6
Little
Connolly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Connolly
0
4
Little
Connolly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
47.4% (1,307)
+3.5%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
50.2% (251)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
41.9% (186)
+1.6%
On power play, Little has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Little is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,837).
Little shoots right. Connolly is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
Little
Connolly
Home
52.9% (5,664)
48.5% (870)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Little
Connolly
P1
50.9%
47.4%
P2
49.6%
47.7%
P3
51.5%
47.0%
OT
49.1%
37.8%
Final 5 min
51.1%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 04:40 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 1 | 19:34 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 1 | 16:11 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 06:14 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 02:36 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 00:58 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 20, 2010 | 1 | 01:11 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |