Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Smith 48.7% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 59.0%
Defensive zone
Smith 73.1%
Neutral zone
Smith 63.1%
Result
Trevor Smith favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Little
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Little
Smith
Last 5: Little 1-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
1
0
Little
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Little
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Little
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
49.0% (769)
+1.9%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
63.6% (22)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
42.4% (118)
+1.1%
On power play, Smith has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Smith is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Little
Smith
Home
52.9% (5,664)
52.4% (490)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
44.0% (420)
By Period
Little
Smith
P1
50.9%
46.9%
P2
49.6%
51.2%
P3
51.5%
47.7%
OT
49.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 02:19 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 18:32 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 06:53 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 03:41 | Offensive | Bryan Little |