Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.1%). Look for Little on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Rask 50.1% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Little leads 19-9 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 57.6%
Defensive zone
Little 63.9%
Neutral zone
Rask 52.3%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Little
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
9
(28 meetings)
19
9
Little
Rask
Last 10: Little 8-2 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
7
4
Little
Rask
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
11
2
Little
Rask
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
1
3
Little
Rask
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
50.0% (4,428)
+0.9%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
54.3% (363)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
35.2% (54)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Little has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Rask is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,743).
Home / Away
Little
Rask
Home
52.9% (5,664)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Little
Rask
P1
50.9%
50.7%
P2
49.6%
48.9%
P3
51.5%
50.7%
OT
49.1%
52.1%
Final 5 min
51.1%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 2 | 04:40 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 1 | 18:46 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 07:46 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 00:52 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 03:09 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 00:22 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 00:07 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 5, 2016 | 3 | 18:48 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 5, 2016 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 5, 2016 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 5, 2016 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 5, 2016 | 2 | 07:10 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 5, 2016 | 1 | 08:37 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 03:09 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 13:02 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Bryan Little |