Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Froese on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 48.1% vs Tierney 49.1% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 79.7%
Defensive zone
Tierney 59.0%
Neutral zone
Tierney 67.6%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Froese
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Froese
Tierney
Last 5: Froese 4-1 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Froese
1
0
Froese
Tierney
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Froese
3
1
Froese
Tierney
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (984)
49.3% (5,342)
+0.0%
Power Play
25.0% (12)
52.3% (342)
-27.3%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (243)
46.6% (857)
-3.0%
On power play, Tierney has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Froese is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (849).
Froese shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Home / Away
Froese
Tierney
Home
50.0% (582)
50.6% (3,270)
Away
46.1% (657)
47.7% (3,271)
By Period
Froese
Tierney
P1
45.5%
49.3%
P2
47.5%
47.7%
P3
50.8%
50.5%
OT
80.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
47.9%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2016 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 3 | 09:38 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 3 | 04:10 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 2 | 02:44 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 04:50 | Neutral | Byron Froese |