Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (59.6% vs 60.1%). Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Froese wins 65.9% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 53.3% vs Benn 59.1% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 77.4%
Defensive zone
Froese 63.9%
Neutral zone
Benn 53.6%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Froese
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Froese
Benn
Last 8: Froese 4-4 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
3
Froese
Benn
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Froese
3
0
Froese
Benn
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Froese
Benn
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
61.7% (47)
61.8% (584)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
56.1% (57)
-16.1%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Froese is 65.9% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Froese shoots right. Benn is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Froese
Benn
Home
62.2% (37)
64.4% (433)
Away
53.3% (15)
55.8% (432)
By Period
Froese
Benn
P1
53.3%
61.8%
P2
68.2%
59.6%
P3
53.3%
59.2%
Final 5 min
69.2%
62.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
59.6%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 16:36 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 02:54 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 14:01 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 05:22 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 12:43 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 03:00 | Defensive | Byron Froese |