Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 48.1% vs Tavares 54.4% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 79.8%
Defensive zone
Froese 84.7%
Neutral zone
Froese 53.1%
Result
Byron Froese favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Froese
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Froese
Tavares
Last 10: Froese 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
6
Froese
Tavares
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Froese
6
1
Froese
Tavares
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Froese
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (984)
54.0% (16,108)
-4.7%
Power Play
25.0% (12)
56.5% (4,283)
-31.5%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (243)
50.6% (620)
-7.0%
On power play, Tavares has a +31.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Froese is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (849).
Froese shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Home / Away
Froese
Tavares
Home
50.0% (582)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
46.1% (657)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Froese
Tavares
P1
45.5%
55.0%
P2
47.5%
54.1%
P3
50.8%
54.1%
OT
80.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
48.8%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
47.9%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 18:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 18:24 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 3 | 16:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 3 | 04:13 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 1 | 12:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 2 | 03:31 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 1 | 03:25 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 2 | 06:44 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 1 | 05:09 | Defensive | Byron Froese |