Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Froese wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 52.9% vs Tavares 58.7% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 87.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 53.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 63.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Froese
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Froese
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Froese
1
0
Froese
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (101)
59.2% (1,035)
-0.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
60.0% (310)
-60.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
42.9% (7)
-42.9%
On power play, Tavares has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Froese is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (71).
Froese shoots right. Tavares is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Froese
Tavares
Home
58.5% (41)
57.5% (668)
Away
53.8% (65)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Froese
Tavares
P1
62.9%
58.0%
P2
50.0%
60.1%
P3
55.2%
61.0%
Final 5 min
73.9%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
55.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Byron Froese |