Scouting Report
Byron Froese holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for MacLean on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Froese wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — MacLean shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 52.9% vs MacLean 44.7% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacLean 55.8%
Defensive zone
Froese 72.8%
Neutral zone
Froese 58.4%
Result
Byron Froese favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Froese
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Froese
MacLean
Last 7: Froese 4-3 MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
0
3
Froese
MacLean
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Froese
2
0
Froese
MacLean
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Froese
2
0
Froese
MacLean
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (101)
42.4% (238)
+16.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
75.0% (4)
-75.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
20.0% (5)
-20.0%
On power play, MacLean has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Froese is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (71).
Froese shoots right. MacLean is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Home / Away
Froese
MacLean
Home
58.5% (41)
41.4% (128)
Away
53.8% (65)
43.7% (119)
By Period
Froese
MacLean
P1
62.9%
49.3%
P2
50.0%
41.6%
P3
55.2%
37.6%
Final 5 min
73.9%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
55.7%
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 12:37 | Offensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 12:30 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 07:18 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 11:52 | Neutral | Byron Froese |