Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Froese wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 48.5% vs Eller 50.5% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Froese 50.7%
Defensive zone
Froese 84.0%
Neutral zone
Froese 65.7%
Result
Byron Froese favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Froese
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Froese
Eller
Last 8: Froese 2-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
4
Froese
Eller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Froese
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Froese
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (461)
52.9% (306)
-4.3%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
40.5% (37)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (174)
45.5% (66)
+2.8%
On power play, Eller has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Froese is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (450).
Froese shoots right. Eller is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Home / Away
Froese
Eller
Home
48.1% (312)
49.7% (181)
Away
48.5% (330)
51.3% (228)
By Period
Froese
Eller
P1
43.6%
54.2%
P2
48.4%
46.5%
P3
52.4%
49.6%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2016 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 07:26 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 03:35 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 2 | 15:30 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 1 | 08:17 | Neutral | Byron Froese |