Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Froese on neutral-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 48.1% vs Eller 50.5% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Froese leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 70.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 51.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 62.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Froese
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
Froese
Eller
Last 10: Froese 9-1 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
5
Froese
Eller
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Froese
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Froese
10
1
Froese
Eller
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (984)
51.1% (10,296)
-1.8%
Power Play
25.0% (12)
52.8% (621)
-27.8%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (243)
46.7% (1,751)
-3.1%
On power play, Eller has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Froese is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (849).
Froese shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Home / Away
Froese
Eller
Home
50.0% (582)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
46.1% (657)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Froese
Eller
P1
45.5%
51.2%
P2
47.5%
50.1%
P3
50.8%
50.2%
OT
80.0%
56.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
47.9%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 16:37 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 09:02 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 18:20 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 13:38 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 3 | 18:42 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 1 | 14:12 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 11:05 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 11:52 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 05:20 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 07:26 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 03:35 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 2 | 15:30 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 1 | 08:17 | Neutral | Byron Froese |