Scouting Report
Michael Raffl holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 48.1% vs Raffl 49.7% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raffl 73.5%
Defensive zone
Froese 85.4%
Neutral zone
Froese 56.5%
Result
Byron Froese favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Froese
Raffl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Froese
Raffl
Last 5: Froese 2-3 Raffl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Froese
1
0
Froese
Raffl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Froese
Raffl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raffl
0
2
Froese
Raffl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Raffl
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (984)
49.1% (597)
+0.2%
Power Play
25.0% (12)
48.1% (27)
-23.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (243)
58.5% (41)
-14.9%
On power play, Raffl has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Raffl shoots left. Froese is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (849).
Froese shoots right. Raffl is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Froese
Raffl
Home
50.0% (582)
51.1% (305)
Away
46.1% (657)
48.3% (360)
By Period
Froese
Raffl
P1
45.5%
51.6%
P2
47.5%
48.4%
P3
50.8%
49.2%
OT
80.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
47.9%
Raffl
56.0%▲
50.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2016 | 1 | 05:36 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 1 | 05:28 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 02:13 | Defensive | Michael Raffl |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 03:21 | Offensive | Byron Froese |