Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Froese on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Froese wins 41.2% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 45.6% vs Nash 48.5% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 61.4%
Defensive zone
Nash 57.1%
Neutral zone
Nash 53.7%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Froese
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Froese
Nash
Last 5: Froese 3-2 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Froese
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Froese
2
1
Froese
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (298)
47.7% (801)
-0.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
51.2% (41)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
52.3% (107)
-23.5%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Froese is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Froese shoots right. Nash is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Froese
Nash
Home
47.8% (159)
50.1% (467)
Away
41.5% (193)
46.7% (482)
By Period
Froese
Nash
P1
41.2%
52.1%
P2
42.9%
44.9%
P3
49.5%
47.3%
OT
100.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
46.3%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
44.3%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2018 | 3 | 17:25 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Byron Froese |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | Byron Froese |