Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.9% vs 48.5%). Look for Nash on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 48.1% vs Nash 48.5% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 63.5%
Defensive zone
Froese 65.5%
Neutral zone
Nash 51.6%
Result
Byron Froese favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Froese
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Froese
Nash
Last 8: Froese 4-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
3
Froese
Nash
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Froese
3
1
Froese
Nash
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (984)
48.7% (4,621)
+0.6%
Power Play
25.0% (12)
51.0% (249)
-26.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (243)
44.9% (550)
-1.3%
On power play, Nash has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Froese is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Froese shoots right. Nash is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,674).
Home / Away
Froese
Nash
Home
50.0% (582)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
46.1% (657)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Froese
Nash
P1
45.5%
49.0%
P2
47.5%
47.9%
P3
50.8%
48.0%
OT
80.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
47.9%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2018 | 3 | 17:25 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Byron Froese |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 3 | 19:37 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 1 | 01:36 | Defensive | Byron Froese |