Scouting Report
Byron Froese holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Froese wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 52.9% vs Carpenter 48.2% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 70.7%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 68.1%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 65.0%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Froese
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Froese
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Froese
Carpenter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Froese
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (101)
48.8% (404)
+9.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
100.0% (1)
-100.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
43.6% (101)
-43.6%
On power play, Carpenter has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Froese is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Froese shoots right. Carpenter is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Froese
Carpenter
Home
58.5% (41)
48.9% (274)
Away
53.8% (65)
46.6% (232)
By Period
Froese
Carpenter
P1
62.9%
51.9%
P2
50.0%
49.4%
P3
55.2%
41.8%
Final 5 min
73.9%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
55.7%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 02:28 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |