Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). O'Reilly wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Krejci shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.3% vs Krejci 50.9% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 65.8%
Defensive zone
Krejci 60.6%
Neutral zone
Krejci 62.0%
Result
David Krejci favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
O'Reilly
Krejci
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
O'Reilly
Krejci
Last 6: O'Reilly 4-2 Krejci
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
0
1
O'Reilly
Krejci
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
0
1
O'Reilly
Krejci
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
0
O'Reilly
Krejci
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Krejci
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (800)
50.6% (9,657)
-4.1%
Power Play
50.4% (129)
55.3% (1,027)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
48.8% (469)
+1.2%
On power play, Krejci has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krejci shoots right. O'Reilly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (309).
O'Reilly shoots left. Krejci is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,616).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Krejci
Home
50.6% (480)
53.1% (5,660)
Away
43.2% (465)
48.7% (5,517)
By Period
O'Reilly
Krejci
P1
47.1%
50.7%
P2
46.7%
51.8%
P3
46.8%
50.2%
OT
54.5%
53.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 00:55 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 00:49 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 17:30 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 10:52 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 3 | 13:31 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 1 | 18:13 | Offensive | David Krejci |