Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Belanger on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.3% vs Belanger 54.9% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Belanger leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 76.1%
Defensive zone
Belanger 65.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 51.9%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
O'Reilly
Belanger
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
O'Reilly
Belanger
Last 10: O'Reilly 4-6 Belanger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
1
O'Reilly
Belanger
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
O'Reilly
Belanger
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belanger
2
5
O'Reilly
Belanger
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Belanger
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (800)
57.1% (2,043)
-10.6%
Power Play
50.4% (129)
57.8% (166)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
44.9% (459)
+5.1%
On even strength, Belanger has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Belanger shoots left. O'Reilly is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
O'Reilly shoots left. Belanger is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,843).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Belanger
Home
50.6% (480)
56.3% (1,350)
Away
43.2% (465)
53.8% (1,332)
By Period
O'Reilly
Belanger
P1
47.1%
53.5%
P2
46.7%
55.4%
P3
46.8%
56.2%
OT
54.5%
53.1%
Final 5 min
43.8%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 02:28 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 17:54 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 03:32 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 1 | 01:55 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 04:44 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 10:25 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 2 | 01:33 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 1 | 17:32 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 07:51 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 02:08 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |