Scouting Report
Cal O'Reilly holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 52.2% vs Letestu 51.2% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 66.3%
Defensive zone
Letestu 66.3%
Neutral zone
Letestu 52.9%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
O'Reilly
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
O'Reilly
Letestu
Last 7: O'Reilly 3-4 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
1
O'Reilly
Letestu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
1
O'Reilly
Letestu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
1
2
O'Reilly
Letestu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (98)
52.5% (755)
+0.6%
Power Play
63.6% (11)
53.3% (167)
+10.3%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. O'Reilly is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (44).
O'Reilly shoots left. Letestu is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (808).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Letestu
Home
56.0% (84)
54.9% (554)
Away
48.0% (25)
48.0% (608)
By Period
O'Reilly
Letestu
P1
47.4%
50.7%
P2
60.6%
54.6%
P3
55.3%
48.4%
Final 5 min
46.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
54.1%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 01:38 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 2 | 14:14 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 17:38 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 14:29 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 14:24 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |