Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.3% vs Letestu 52.1% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Letestu leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 74.1%
Defensive zone
Letestu 57.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 56.5%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
O'Reilly
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
O'Reilly
Letestu
Last 10: O'Reilly 4-6 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
O'Reilly
Letestu
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
2
O'Reilly
Letestu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
O'Reilly
Letestu
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (800)
53.3% (4,565)
-6.8%
Power Play
50.4% (129)
56.0% (687)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
44.2% (1,005)
+5.8%
On even strength, Letestu has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. O'Reilly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (309).
O'Reilly shoots left. Letestu is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Letestu
Home
50.6% (480)
54.0% (3,024)
Away
43.2% (465)
50.4% (3,249)
By Period
O'Reilly
Letestu
P1
47.1%
51.5%
P2
46.7%
55.0%
P3
46.8%
49.8%
OT
54.5%
51.8%
Final 5 min
43.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 01:38 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 2 | 14:14 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 17:38 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 14:29 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 14:24 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 21, 2010 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 3 | 12:03 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 2 | 00:54 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 2 | 00:33 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 1 | 00:53 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |