Scouting Report
Mike Hoffman holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.3% vs Hoffman 50.0% (-3.0%)
Offensive zone
Hoffman 58.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 72.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 51.4%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
O'Reilly
Hoffman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Hoffman
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (800)
49.5% (204)
-3.0%
Power Play
50.4% (129)
50.0% (40)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
100.0% (2)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Hoffman has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hoffman shoots left. O'Reilly is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
O'Reilly shoots left. Hoffman is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Hoffman
Home
50.6% (480)
57.0% (121)
Away
43.2% (465)
43.2% (125)
By Period
O'Reilly
Hoffman
P1
47.1%
52.2%
P2
46.7%
44.7%
P3
46.8%
50.8%
OT
54.5%
70.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
Hoffman
40.0%▼
49.5%
50.0%