Scouting Report
R.J. Umberger holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.3% vs Umberger 50.1% (-3.1%)
Offensive zone
Umberger 62.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 62.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 54.9%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
O'Reilly
Umberger
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Umberger
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (800)
50.9% (387)
-4.4%
Power Play
50.4% (129)
49.8% (251)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
46.6% (58)
+3.4%
On even strength, Umberger has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Umberger shoots left. O'Reilly is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
O'Reilly shoots left. Umberger is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (479).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Umberger
Home
50.6% (480)
52.3% (365)
Away
43.2% (465)
47.6% (336)
By Period
O'Reilly
Umberger
P1
47.1%
50.0%
P2
46.7%
49.3%
P3
46.8%
50.0%
OT
54.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
43.8%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
Umberger
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%