Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.3% vs Koivu 51.8% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 55.8%
Defensive zone
Koivu 85.4%
Neutral zone
Koivu 64.8%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
O'Reilly
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
O'Reilly
Koivu
Last 10: O'Reilly 5-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
6
0
O'Reilly
Koivu
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
O'Reilly
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
O'Reilly
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (800)
51.9% (3,221)
-5.4%
Power Play
50.4% (129)
59.3% (437)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
48.0% (764)
+2.0%
On power play, Koivu has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. O'Reilly is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
O'Reilly shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Koivu
Home
50.6% (480)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
43.2% (465)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
O'Reilly
Koivu
P1
47.1%
51.1%
P2
46.7%
52.6%
P3
46.8%
51.8%
OT
54.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
43.8%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 13:03 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 05:18 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 16:50 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 05:44 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 2 | 11:07 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 1 | 05:08 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 17:41 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 14:01 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 10:18 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |